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Friday, November 2, 2007
Nothing merry about Noel: forecasters
Last Updated: Friday, November 2, 2007 | 8:30 PM AT
CBC News
Batten down the hatches. Hurricane Noel is aiming for the Atlantic provinces.
'It will be more a good fall storm. By good I'm talking meteorologically.'— Peter Bowyer, Environment Canada
Noel is expected to be a post-tropical storm by the time it reaches the region on Saturday, but forecasters say it will still pack a wallop.
Environment Canada's Peter Bowyer is calling it a "dangerous" storm.
"It will not be a technical hurricane when it arrives. It will be more a good fall storm. By good I'm talking meteorologically, not in terms of the way the public would want to consider it," he told reporters Friday.
The centre of the fast-moving system is expected to move over Yarmouth sometime late Saturday evening, then travel northeast and into the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Sunday morning.
Officials have issued warnings in all four Atlantic provinces, and residents have been urged to take precautions while they can.
Hurricane Noel as it passed 180 miles north-northeast of Nassau, Bahamas at 1:31 a.m. EDT Friday.
(NOAA/Associated Press)
"Tomorrow is supposed to be a nice day, so there's no reason why people can't get out around their homes, pick up anything that's loose, put away their summer stuff [and] check their drains," Fred Hollett, director of the Emergency Measures Organization in Newfoundland and Labrador, said Friday afternoon.
Air Canada has cancelled 13 flights coming into or leaving Halifax on Saturday. Travellers are advised to call ahead to check their flight status.
Heavy rains, high winds
Western Nova Scotia and parts of New Brunswick could see about 50 millimetres of rain or even 100 millimetres, with winds gusting to 100 km/h or even 130 km/h in some areas. Rainfall amounts in P.E.I. could be slightly lower, but wind gusts of 120 km/h are expected.
Though Bowyer said Noel could bring hurricane-force winds, he was reluctant to compare it to Hurricane Juan, which ripped through Nova Scotia and into Prince Edward Island on Sept. 29, 2003.
"I hesitate to make the comparison because then people might kind of set down their vigilance," he said.
"Don't be worried, just be prepared. This is not, at this point, anything like a Hurricane Juan, but it's still a dangerous storm that can bring damaging winds and affect the outside of properties."
Bowyer also urged people to avoid Nova Scotia's Atlantic coastline, which could see 10-metre-high waves.
"That will arrive on the coast of Nova Scotia Saturday night as some pretty heavy pounding surf," he said.
The parking lot at the Charlottetown Yacht Club was full as boats were pulled from the water.
(CBC)
In Lunenburg, N.S., some people were taking precautions Friday afternoon.
"I see right now, looking out the harbour here, a number of small boats being moved to cover," said Allan Creaser, who owns two restaurants near the harbour.
Creaser said he planned to shut off power and tie down loose items in case of high winds.
Emergency plans in place
Power companies are warning of significant electrical outages across the region.
In Halifax, Mayor Peter Kelly said people should have emergency supplies on hand, while staff at Nova Scotia Power are on emergency standby. Officials met earlier Friday to discuss plans to deal with the storm.
"There will likely be damage to infrastructure including power lines and we better be ready to stand up against it and be prepared to repair it," said spokesperson Margaret Murphy.
About 500 Red Cross volunteers are also on standby in N.S.
On P.E.I., Maritime Electric officials were also making preparations.
"There is a good chance that if the storm continues at its current level and its current tracking that, yes, there could be power outages," Maritime Electric president Fred O'Brien said.
Noel hit the Dominican Republic, Cuba and the Bahamas earlier this week. By early Friday, the death toll was at 115 people.
...NOEL BECOMING A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...
000
WTNT31 KNHC 022051
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
500 PM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007
...NOEL BECOMING A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT 450 MILES...
725 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 320 MILES...510 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND
IT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NOEL IS TRANSITIONING TO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345
MILES...555 KM. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN SIZE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS
980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...31.4 N...72.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN
Hurricane NOEL Public Advisory - 1100 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007
Hurricane NOEL Public Advisory
| |
000
WTNT31 KNHC 021446
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
1100 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007
...NOEL BEGINNING TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES...
925 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 425 MILES...685 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN
BACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER
TODAY...BUT MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345
MILES...555 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS
981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N...73.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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