Latest Update from CHC(9:00ADT)

WOCN31 CWHX 041300
POST-TROPICAL STORM NOEL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM AST
SUNDAY 04 NOVEMBER 2007.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12.00 NOON AST
..HIGH WINDS FROM POST-TROPICAL STORM NOEL MOVING ACROSS THE
MARITIMES..CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE IN THE MARITIMES THIS MORNING..
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION
AT 9.00 AM AST... POST-TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 47.5 N AND LONGITUDE 64.3 W... ABOUT 55 NAUTICAL MILES OR
100 KM EAST NORTHEAST OF CHATHAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS... 120 KM/H... (OVER THE GULF OF ST
LAWRENCE) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 968 MB. NOEL IS MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST AT 35 KNOTS... 65 KM/H.
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
NOV 04 9.00 AM 47.5N 64.3W 968 65 120 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 04 2.00 PM 50.6N 62.4W 969 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 04 8.00 PM 53.9N 60.1W 970 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 05 2.00 AM 57.0N 58.5W 970 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 05 8.00 AM 59.2N 57.2W 971 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 05 2.00 PM 62.0N 56.3W 972 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 05 8.00 PM 64.7N 55.8W 977 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
ALTHOUGH WEAKENING POST-TROPICAL NOEL CONTINUES AS A POWERFUL STORM
MOVING THROUGH ATLANTIC CANADA. THE STORM CENTRE IS EXPECTED TO EXIT
THE NORTHERN GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE EARLY THIS AFTEROON AND PASS
THROUGH LABRADOR THIS EVENING AND THE LABRADOR SEA WATERS MONDAY.
3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
A SUMMARY OF IMPACTS AND WEATHER STATISTICS CAN BE FOUND IN OUR
LAST INTERMEDIATE BULLETIN ISSUED AT 6 AM AND IN SPECIAL WEATHER
SUMMARY BULLETINS FOR THE VARIOUS PROVINCES.
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND SOME INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE HAVE BEEN
REPORTED IN NOVA SCOTIA DUE TO WIND AND LARGE COASTAL WAVES. SOME
LOCALIZED RAINFALL-RELATED FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM NEW
BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA.
PEAK WINDS AT WRECKHOUSE NEWFOUNDLAND REACHED 180 KM/H THIS
MORNING WHILE MCNABS ISLAND AND BEAVER ISLAND NOVA SCOTIA BOTH
GUSTED TO 135 KM/H. WE ALSO HAD AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF 130 MM OF
RAIN AT SMELT BROOK NOVA SCOTIA ON THE NORTHERN PORTION OF CAPE
BRETON.
WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA.. PEI.. MAGDALEN
ISLANDS.. PORTIONS OF NEWFOUNDLAND.. SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW
BRUNSWICK.. PORTIONS OF THE GASPÉ PENINSULA.. ANTICOSTI ISLAND..
AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTH SHORE OF THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE.
RAINFALL WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
BRUNSWICK PORTIONS OF THE GASPÉ PENINSULA ANTICOSTI ISLAND AND
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH SHORE OF THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE.
SNOWFALL WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE GASPÉ
PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN QUÉBEC.. AND PORTIONS OF LABRADOR.
HEAVY POUNDING SURF REMAINS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
AND SOUTH-FACING COASTLINES AROUND NEWFOUNDLAND..CAPE BRETON..AND
AREAS AROUND THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE.
THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE TOO CLOSE TO THE SHORELINE
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA SINCE WAVES WILL REMAIN VERY
DANGEROUS THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. WIND GUSTS STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO CAUSE FURTHER TREE DAMAGE THIS MORNING ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA..PEI
AND EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK.
4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS WILL BE DOWNGRADED AS THE STORM
MOVES NORTH. STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST MARINE WATERS
AROUND ATLANTIC CANADA. VERY HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST WITH SIG WAVES
NEAR 8 M OVER SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA WATERS AND WAVES BUILDING TO
NEAR 8 M IN THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON.
5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
A. ANALYSIS
SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOW A HOOK OF CLOUD AND RAIN RAPIDLY MOVING
NORTHEAST. SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN LOCATES THE STORM CENTRE IN THE
WESTERN GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE IN THE OUTER CHALEUR-MISCOU MARINE AREA.
B. PROGNOSTIC
WE CONTINUE WITH BASIC TRACK FROM 3 AM PACKAGE. RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE OF 19.3 DEGREES AT YARMOUTH AT 11 PM LAST EVENING
WAS AN INDICATION OF THE WARM AIR STILL ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.
ANY WARM CORE REMAINING SHOULD START DISSIPATING TODAY AS PER THE
GEM.
C. PUBLIC WEATHER
NOTHING ADDITIONAL.
D. MARINE WEATHER
GIVEN THE TROPICAL HISTORY OF THIS STORM..THE CANADIAN HURRICANE
CENTRE WILL CONTINUE TO PREPARE STORM BULLETINS TODAY.
END FOGARTY/BOWYER